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Journal articles
Climate and leishmaniasis in French Guiana.
Amaury Roger
1, *
Mathieu Nacher
1, 2
Matthieu Hanf
1
Anne Sophie Drogoul
3
Antoine Adenis
1, 2
Celia Basurko
1
Julie Dufour
4
Dominique Sainte Marie
4
Denis Blanchet
2
Stephane Simon
2
Bernard Carme
2, 1
Pierre Couppié
2, 4
Amaury Roger 1
Correspondent author
Mathieu Nacher 1, 2
Author IdHAL : mathieu-nacher ORCID : https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9397-3204
Matthieu Hanf 1
Author
Anne Sophie Drogoul 3
Author
Antoine Adenis 1, 2
Author IdHAL : antoine-adenis ORCID : https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4000-4981
Celia Basurko 1
Author
Julie Dufour 4
Author
Dominique Sainte Marie 4
Author
Denis Blanchet 2
Author
Stephane Simon 2
Author
Bernard Carme 2, 1
Author
Pierre Couppié 2, 4
Author
1
CIC - Antilles Guyane - Centre d'investigation clinique Antilles-Guyane (Cayenne - French Guiana)
- INSERM - Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale : CIE802 (101, rue de Tolbiac, 75013 Paris - France)
- CHU de la Martinique [Fort de France] (CS 90632 – 97261 Fort de France Cedex Martinique - Martinique)
- CHU Pointe-à-Pitre/Abymes [Guadeloupe] (Route de Chauvel - BP 465 - 97159 Pointe-à-Pitre cedex - France)
- Centre Hospitalier Andrée Rosemon [Cayenne, Guyane Française] (Av des flamboyants, Cayenne 97306 - French Guiana)
2
Epidémiologie des parasitoses et mycoses tropicales (Campus Saint Denis, Cayenne - French Guiana)
- UAG - Université des Antilles et de la Guyane (Fouillole - BP 250 - 97157 Pointe-à-Pitre - Guadeloupe)
- INSERM - Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (101, rue de Tolbiac, 75013 Paris - France)
3
Institut Pasteur de la Guyane (23 Avenue Pasteur BP 6010 - 97306 Cayenne Cedex - French Guiana)
- RIIP - Réseau International des Instituts Pasteur (25, rue du Dr Roux 75724 Paris Cedex 15 - France)
4
Service de Dermatologie et Vénérologie (Rue des Flamboyants - BP 6006 - 97306 Cayenne cedex - French Guiana)
- Centre Hospitalier Andrée Rosemon [Cayenne, Guyane Française] (Av des flamboyants, Cayenne 97306 - French Guiana)
Abstract : To study the link between climatic variables and the incidence of leishmaniasis a study was conducted in Cayenne, French Guiana. Patients infected between January 1994 and December 2010. Meteorological data were studied in relation to the incidence of leishmaniasis using an ARIMA model. In the final model, the infections were negatively correlated with rainfall (with a 2-month lag) and with the number of days with rainfall > 50 mm (lags of 4 and 7 months). The variables that were positively correlated were temperature and the Multivariate El Niño Southern Oscillation Index with lags of 8 and 4 months, respectively. Significantly greater correlations were observed in March for rainfall and in November for the Multivariate El Niño/Southern Oscillation Index. Climate thus seems to be a non-negligible explanatory variable for the fluctuations of leishmaniasis. A decrease in rainfall is linked to increased cases 2 months later. This easily perceptible point could lead to an interesting prevention message.
Document type :
Journal articles
Complete list of metadatas
https://www.hal.inserm.fr/inserm-00913933
Contributor : Antoine Adenis <>
Submitted on : Wednesday, December 4, 2013 - 3:29:45 PM
Last modification on : Saturday, December 14, 2019 - 1:20:02 PM
Long-term archiving on: : Saturday, April 8, 2017 - 3:55:45 AM
Contributor : Antoine Adenis <>
Submitted on : Wednesday, December 4, 2013 - 3:29:45 PM
Last modification on : Saturday, December 14, 2019 - 1:20:02 PM
Long-term archiving on: : Saturday, April 8, 2017 - 3:55:45 AM
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Identifiers
- HAL Id : inserm-00913933, version 1
- DOI : 10.4269/ajtmh.12-0771
- PUBMED : 23939706
Collections
INSERM | UNIV-AG | RIIP | RIIP_GUYANE
Citation
Amaury Roger, Mathieu Nacher, Matthieu Hanf, Anne Sophie Drogoul, Antoine Adenis, et al.. Climate and leishmaniasis in French Guiana.. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 2013, 89 (3), pp.564-9. ⟨10.4269/ajtmh.12-0771⟩. ⟨inserm-00913933⟩
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