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Multiple imputation for estimation of an occurrence rate in cohorts with attrition and discrete follow-up time points: a simulation study.
Soullier N., de La Rochebrochard E., Bouyer J.
BMC Medical Research Methodology 10, 1 (2010) 79 - http://www.hal.inserm.fr/inserm-00668210
 (20815883) 
Multiple imputation for estimation of an occurrence rate in cohorts with attrition and discrete follow-up time points: a simulation study.
Noémie Soullier1, Elise de La Rochebrochard1, Jean Bouyer () 1
1 :  CESP - Centre de recherche en épidémiologie et santé des populations
INSERM : U1018 – Université Paris XI - Paris Sud – Hôpital Paul Brousse – Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP)
16 avenue Paul Vaillant Couturier 94807 Villejuif Cedex, France
France
BACKGROUND: In longitudinal cohort studies, subjects may be lost to follow-up at any time during the study. This leads to attrition and thus to a risk of inaccurate and biased estimations. The purpose of this paper is to show how multiple imputation can take advantage of all the information collected during follow-up in order to estimate the cumulative probability P(E) of an event E, when the first occurrence of this event is observed at t successive time points of a longitudinal study with attrition. METHODS: We compared the performance of multiple imputation with that of Kaplan-Meier estimation in several simulated attrition scenarios. RESULTS: In missing-completely-at-random scenarios, the multiple imputation and Kaplan-Meier methods performed well in terms of bias (less than 1%) and coverage rate (range = [94.4%; 95.8%]). In missing-at-random scenarios, the Kaplan-Meier method was associated with a bias ranging from -5.1% to 7.0% and with a very poor coverage rate (as low as 0.2%). Multiple imputation performed much better in this situation (bias <2%, coverage rate >83.4%). CONCLUSIONS: Multiple imputation shows promise for estimation of an occurrence rate in cohorts with attrition. This study is a first step towards defining appropriate use of multiple imputation in longitudinal studies.
Sciences du Vivant/Médecine humaine et pathologie
Sciences du Vivant/Santé publique et épidémiologie
Anglais
1471-2288

Articles dans des revues avec comité de lecture
10.1186/1471-2288-10-79
BMC Medical Research Methodology (BMC Med Res Methodol)
Publisher BioMed Central
ISSN 1471-2288 
internationale
2010
03/09/2010
10
1
79

This work was supported by the French Institute for Public Health Research (IReSP); and the Ile-de-France Region [doctoral grant to NS].
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